03.03.2024 02:00
STATISTICS TEAM 1 – Memphis Grizzlies:
Basic Stats: The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 106.4 points per game, while their two-point shooting percentage is around 44%. They have a slight edge in offensive rebounding (10 to 12.2) over Portland, but a slightly lower percentage in defensive rebounding (29.5 to 31.8). Both teams are nearly tied in total rebounds per game.
Offensive Rating: Memphis has an ORB% of 22.1, while Portland has the edge with an ORB% of 26.7. Memphis still has a solid ORtg of 107.6, while Portland has a slight edge with an ORtg of 108.7. Both teams have a negative eDiff, but Memphis is slightly better with an eDiff of -6.4 compared to Portland’s -9.2.
Defensive Rating: Memphis shows greater defensive efficiency with a DRtg of 114, while Portland’s DRtg is slightly higher at 117.9. Memphis has the edge in DRB% (75.3 vs. 73.4) and BLK% (11.7 vs. 8.3), suggesting a better ability to finish defensive possessions.
Advanced Stats: Memphis stands out with a higher AST% of 65.2%, indicating better offensive coordination. However, the overall scoring percentage (TOTAL S%) is lower (154.8 vs. 157.9) compared to Portland, which may indicate less efficiency in creating points.
STATS TEAM 2 – Portland Trail Blazers:
Key stats: The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 107.2 points per game, with a slightly better three-point shooting percentage than Memphis (34.8% vs. 34.6%). They also have an advantage in the percentage of free throws (79.4% vs. 76.3%).
Offensive Rating: Portland has a better ORB% of 26.7 and ORtg of 108.7. The team is more efficient in offensive rebounding and scoring compared to the number of attacks.
Defensive Rating: Portland faces a lower DRtg than Memphis (117.9 vs. 114), but still shows solid efficiency in finishing defensive possessions.
Advanced stats: Portland has a better overall field goal percentage (157.9 vs. 154.8) and a higher FIC40 of 62.6. Portland’s players contribute to the team in all aspects of the game, which sets them apart in advanced statistics.
Mutual meetings:
In the last five meetings, Portland won three times with the results of 122:92, 115:113 (after overtime) and 122:112, while Memphis won twice with the results of 112:110 and 119:109. Portland has a slight head-to-head advantage.
Player absences:
Memphis is facing numerous absences of key players like Bane, Jackson and Morant, while Portland is without Brogdon, Henderson, Sharpe and Williams. Both teams have several questionable players.
Betting suggestion:
Given the absences in Memphis, we suggest betting on a lower number of points scored (less than 209.5). The matchup winner may be harder to predict, but Memphis has the edge in certain statistical categories. Betting on Memphis with a handicap of -2.5 can be a reasonable option. Odds on Memphis is 1.72, while Portland is 2.14.
Betting suggestion:
Home win and 208.5 (1&208.5-)
Quota 3.25
NOTE
We analyze all matches with the help of advanced basketball statistics applications http://hoopexpertpro.com/ and available information.For a deeper understanding of the dynamics of this encounter and a more extensive analysis, visit the mentioned application.