07.05.2024 20:00
Analysis of the KK Mega team
KK Mega Bemax showed an exceptional presence on the field during the season, playing 33 games and averaging 39.9 minutes per match. Although it records slightly fewer games compared to KK Crvena Zvezda, the Mega Bemax team stands out for the average number of points scored per game, with an impressive 87.3 points, which is more compared to KK Crvena Zvezda. However, even though it scores more points, KK Mega Bemax has a slightly lower percentage of shooting from the field compared to KK Crvena Zvezda. Also, KK Mega Bemax scores fewer points from the three-point line compared to KK Crvena Zvezda, but with a lower shooting percentage. In terms of rebounding, both teams are relatively similar, but KK Mega Bemax has slightly more offensive rebounds, which may indicate better control of offensive rebounds.
When analyzing the offensive efficiency, KK Mega Bemax shows solid results with an ORtg of 115.5, although this is less than KK Crvena Zvezda. However, Team Mega Bemax has the edge in offensive rebounding percentage (ORB%), which can be key to generating additional offense. Compared to KK Crvena Zvezda, the tempo of the game is faster at KK Mega Bemax, which can contribute to the dynamics of the match.
Overall, although the KK Mega Bemax team has several advantages in certain aspects of the game, such as more points per game and better offensive rebound control, the KK Red Star team stands out for its more efficient offense and better field goal percentage.
Analysis of the KK Crvena Zvezda team
KK Crvena Zvezda showed an impressive presence on the field during the season, playing as many as 66 games with an average of 40 minutes per match. Although it played more games compared to KK Mega Bemax, the Red Star team stands out for its greater efficiency in attack. Although it scores a slightly lower number of points per game compared to KK Mega Bemax, with an average of 84.9 points, KK Crvena Zvezda has a better percentage of shooting from the field. He also scores more points from the three-point line with a slightly lower shooting percentage, which shows more versatility in his offense.
When it comes to rebounds, both teams are relatively similar, but KK Red Star has a slightly higher percentage of total rebounds, which may contribute to their control of rebounds in both directions of the court.
Analyzing the efficiency of the attack, KK Crvena Zvezda stands out with an ORtg of 119.5, which is higher compared to KK Mega Bemax. Also, the Red Star team has a higher advantage in offensive efficiency (eDiff), which indicates their ability to score more points and allow fewer points on defense.
Compared to KK Mega Bemax, the Crvena Zvezda team has better statistics in most categories, which is also reflected in the FIC40 points. Also, KK Crvena Zvezda has a slightly faster pace of play, which can contribute to the dynamics of the match.
Overall, KK Crvena Zvezda stands out for its greater efficiency in attack, better percentage of shooting from the field and greater control of jumps, which makes them the favorite in the match.
Betting proposal
KK Mega 80.5 points/under (80.5-)
Considering the seriousness of the injuries of key players of KK Mega Bemax, such as Stefan Miljenović and Uroš Plavšić, whose injuries are significant for the team’s offensive ability, the suggested betting on 80.5 points less for KK Mega Bemax seems like a rational choice. Losing players who average more than 30 points per game significantly reduces the team’s offensive potential. In addition, the lack of a captain and an important player like Miljenović can create an imbalance in the team and lead to changes in tactics and play that can be less productive.
Additionally, when you take into account the defensive abilities of both teams, as well as the tendency for matches between them to be played under pressure and with a tight defense, the likelihood that the match will be lower than expected becomes higher. KK Mega Bemax may be forced to rely more on their defense than their offense due to the absence of key players, which could result in lower total points in the match.
Quota 1.70
NOTE
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