Hawke’s Bay Hawks vs Manawatu Jets & NBL New Zealand & Analysis & Betting Tip 07/06/2024 09:30

Hawke’s Bay Hawks Team Analysis

The Hawke’s Bay Hawks are a team that stands out for their attacking ability and efficiency in key statistics. They average 90.5 points per game, making them one of the most efficient offensive teams in the league. Their field goal percentage is 45.4%, which indicates their ability to shoot with a high percentage of success. Also, the Hawks are extremely effective in three-point shooting, with a percentage of 33.8%, which allows them to constantly threaten opponents from distance.

Compared to the Manawatu Jets, the Hawke’s Bay Hawks have a significantly better free throw percentage of 70%, allowing them to capitalize on opponents’ fouls and add extra points from the free throw line. In rebounding, the Hawks are averaging 39.3 rebounds per game, giving them a slight edge over the Jets’ 38.5 rebounds per game. This advantage in rebounding allows them to control possessions and reduce the number of second chance opponents.

One of the key aspects in which the Hawke’s Bay Hawks stand out is their low turnover rate, with just 10.6 per game. This is significantly better compared to the Jets who have 15.2 turnovers per game. Fewer turnovers indicate discipline and efficiency in running the game, which is key to maintaining continuity of attack and reducing the opponent’s ability to turn the game over.

When looking at advanced stats, Hawke’s Bay Hawks have a better offensive rating (ORtg) of 110.8 compared to Manawatu Jets’ ORtg of 100.2. This indicator shows that the Hawks are scoring more points per 100 possessions, which is a measure of their offensive efficiency. However, their defensive efficiency is not at an enviable level, with a defensive rating (DRtg) of 119.4, indicating room for improvement on defense.

The efficiency difference (eDiff) between Hawke’s Bay Hawks and their opponents is -8.7, which is less negative compared to Manawatu Jets who have an eDiff of -20.6. These statistics show that the Hawks are relatively more efficient in both directions of the game, although they still have room for improvement, especially on defense.

The Hawke’s Bay Hawks also perform better in ball distribution, with an AST% of 48.3%, indicating their ability to create chances for teammates and maintain fluidity in attack. Their true shooting percentage (TS%) of .545 and effective field goal percentage (eFG%) of .515 also indicate their efficiency on offense, as both indicators include the value of three-point shots and free throws.

Finally, defensive stats such as a steal percentage (STL%) of 7% show that the Hawks have the ability to pressure the opposition and create easy scoring opportunities in transition. However, their defensive efficiency (DRtg) indicates the need for better blocking of the opponent’s shots and reducing the number of allowed points.

Overall, the Hawke’s Bay Hawks are a dominant team in attack, with solid ball distribution and shooting efficiency. However, in order to achieve more success, they must improve their defense and reduce the number of points allowed in order to compete with the strongest teams in the league.

Manawatu Jets Team Analysis

The Manawatu Jets are a solid performing team, but they have certain weaknesses that limit their success. They average 81.7 points per game, which puts them in the lower category of offensive efficiency compared to some other teams in the league. Their field goal percentage is 43.6%, which is slightly lower than average, indicating the need for improvement in shooting execution.

The Jets have a three-point shooting percentage of 30.5%, which is well below the optimal level for a modern basketball team. This weakness in the three-point shot means that opponents can more easily focus on their inside game. Free throw shooting is also an area where the Jets can improve their game, with a 68.3% shooting percentage.

In terms of rebounding, the Manawatu Jets are averaging 38.5 rebounds per game, which is solid but not enough to give them a significant edge over their opponents. These statistics indicate that the team struggles to control possession, which is a key factor in success on the pitch.

One of the biggest weaknesses of the Manawatu Jets is the high number of turnovers, with an average of 15.2 per game. This is significantly more than many other teams and indicates a problem with possession and efficiency in running the game. Losing possession gives opponents extra scoring chances, which is a big flaw in their game.

Advanced stats show that the Manawatu Jets have an offensive rating (ORtg) of 100.2, which is well below average and indicates their problems in scoring. On the other hand, their defensive rating (DRtg) is 120.8, which is very high and indicates weakness in defense. This indicator shows that the Jets are allowing too many points per 100 possessions, which is a big problem for a team that wants to be competitive.

The efficiency difference (eDiff) between Manawatu Jets and their opponents is -20.6, which is one of the worst results in the league. These statistics indicate that the Jets are significantly less efficient compared to their opponents, both offensively and defensively.

Ball distribution is another area where the Jets can improve their game. With an AST% of 43.7%, it is obvious that the team is not managing to create chances for their teammates effectively enough. Their true shooting percentage (TS%) of .526 and effective field goal percentage (eFG%) of .496 are also below average, which further confirms their shooting problems.

Although the Manawatu Jets show some potential in the speed of the game (Pace), their effectiveness in running the attack is not at a satisfactory level. Their FIC40 (Floor Impact Counter per 40 minutes) is 54, which is an indication that the team has significant room for improvement both offensively and defensively.

In conclusion, the Manawatu Jets are a team that has solid foundations but needs to work on improving their attacking efficiency, reducing their turnovers and improving their defensive performance. If they can improve these key aspects of the game, they can become a much more competitive team in the league.

Betting proposal

189.5 points/under (189.5-)

The Hawke’s Bay Hawks average 90.5 points per game, while the Manawatu Jets average 81.7 points, for a total of 172.2 points per game. The Hawke’s Bay Hawks field goal percentage is 45.4%, while the Manawatu Jets have a 43.6% shooting percentage. In three-point shooting, the Hawke’s Bay Hawks have a percentage of 33.8%, while the Manawatu Jets have 30.5%. Free throw percentages are 70% for Hawke’s Bay Hawks and 68.3% for Manawatu Jets.

The defensive rating (DRtg) for the Hawke’s Bay Hawks is 119.4, while the Manawatu Jets have 120.8. The number of turnovers per game is 10.6 for the Hawke’s Bay Hawks and 15.2 for the Manawatu Jets. The previous meeting two months ago ended 89-92 in favor of the Hawke’s Bay Hawks, which gives a total of 181 points, which is less than the limit of 189.5 points.

Hawke’s Bay Hawks are significantly more efficient in attack, while Manawatu Jets have problems with execution. Both teams have high defensive ratings, suggesting they tend to allow a lot of points. Pace can be a deciding factor as the Manawatu Jets play faster which can lead to more possessions and potentially more points.

Although the average points per game for both teams is 172.2 points, taking into account the defensive weaknesses of both teams and the potential for high turnovers due to the fast game, there is a possibility that the total points will exceed the 189.5 mark. However, the previous meeting between them ended with 181 points, which is below this limit.

It is recommended to bet on less than 189.5 points.

Quota 1.85

NOTE

Fantasy managers who want to check their players’ statistics to gain a deeper understanding of their performance can use the Advanced Basketball Statistics application, available at  https://sportnet.pro/hoopexpertpro/ This application provides comprehensive information about players, including advanced statistics, performance analysis, and other relevant information. We encourage fantasy managers to visit the above app for more in-depth analysis and to make informed decisions regarding their fantasy teams.

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