Player Analysis: Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been in outstanding form this season, especially when it comes to offensive rebounding. At home, he averages 2.1 offensive rebounds per game, placing him in the 91st percentile among all NBA players for this metric. His ability to create second-chance opportunities has been crucial for the Houston Rockets, particularly when they play at home.
Additionally, the Houston Rockets are one of the best teams in the NBA this season in terms of offensive rebounds. Offensive rebounds are vital because they help maintain possession, leading to new opportunities for scoring and assists. This makes Jabari Smith Jr.’s role in securing offensive rebounds especially important for the Rockets’ overall strategy.
As for pace, the Rockets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, creating more opportunities for rebounding and scoring. Furthermore, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Rockets’ opponents, rank 5th in the fastest pace on the road. This fast pace is likely to result in a high number of possessions, providing more chances for Jabari Smith Jr. to grab rebounds, particularly offensive ones.
Given his ability to secure rebounds, the fast-paced play of the Rockets, and increased opportunities due to playing against a team that also plays at a fast pace, Jabari Smith Jr. is in a great position to make a strong impact on the boards.
Betting Suggestion: Over 6.5 rebounds
Considering Jabari Smith Jr.’s impressive numbers in offensive rebounds, his key role in the Rockets’ strategy, and the fast pace of this game, betting on “Over 6.5 rebounds” is a solid choice for this matchup.
Odds: 1.85