Team analysis: AC Milan
AC Milan enters this match with considerable pressure after a turbulent period in the domestic championship. Although they achieved a solid result in the Champions League, with a victory over Red Star (2:1) securing four consecutive victories in the group stage, the “Rossoneri” are far from expectations in Serie A. The last defeat against Atalanta (1:2) made it even more difficult for them position in the table, leaving them as much as 12 points behind the leading teams, which practically means that they will focus on cup competitions and European matches to save the season.
Coach Paulo Fonseca publicly criticized the approach of some players after the match with Red Star, emphasizing that he will give young players a chance if he does not see an improvement in engagement. Such statements only further indicate that problems with morale and team chemistry may be emerging in the locker room.
Injuries further weakened Milan. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is out with a thigh injury, while Kristijan Pulisic is still out with a calf injury. Also, Alvaro Morata picked up a minor injury against Red Star, meaning Tammy Abraham is likely to start in attack. Rafael Leao will be a key figure in the attacking segment – his contribution in recent games in the form of assists and goals can make the difference.
Milan’s defense, although solid at home, has problems with consistency. Keeping five clean sheets in seven Serie A home games suggests potential, but against a disciplined side like Genoa, mistakes can be fatal.
Team analysis: Genoa
Under the guidance of Patrick Vieira, Genoa have improved significantly in the last few weeks. The arrival of the French expert refreshed the team and brought a clear structure to the game, which resulted in better results. Genoa is undefeated in the last five matches of Serie A, with three matches without conceding a goal, and they look particularly impressive on the road, where they have recorded victories without conceding a goal in the last two meetings.
The changes in the style of the game are clearly visible: an increased number of passes, more opportunities created and greater aggressiveness in defense. Andrea Pinamonti leads the Genoese attack and with his form is a constant threat. In addition, the return of Johan Vasquez to the defense after suspension will significantly strengthen the defensive line.
Mario Balotelli, a former Milan player, could bring additional motivation if he gets minutes from the bench. His experience and penchant for big moments could be key in Genoa’s bid to spring a surprise at the San Siro. However, they still have injury problems: Connie de Winter, Ruslan Malinovski, Caleb Ekuban and Junior Messias are still out, reducing Vieira’s rotational options.
Betting suggestion: X2
I suggest playing X2 in Genoa. Milan is in a weaker form and has problems with injuries to several players, while Genoa is playing better and better under the leadership of Patrick Vieira. The guests are undefeated in the last five games, and they did not concede a goal in the last two away games. Milan is under pressure, and Genoa is a team that can take advantage of that, so the chances of a surprise are real.
Elevation 2.75
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