Team analysis: Lugano
Lugano made a big step in its European history by reaching the knockout stage of the Conference League, which is the first time in the history of this Swiss club. Matthias Croci-Torti’s team excelled with victories over Gent, HJK Helsinki and Mlad Boleslav, while the 2:1 triumph over Legia in Warsaw stands out as the key moment of their campaign.
With 12 points, Lugano is in the top half of the 36-team table and has an excellent chance to skip the playoffs and directly qualify for the round of 16. However, not all games were impressive — a 4-1 loss to TSC remains a painful reminder of their weaknesses, while in the domestic championship they suffered heavy defeats against Lausanne (4-1) and Servette (3-0).
The team relies on the attacking duo of Matija Botani and Kevin Mahu, while the return of Anto Grgić will contribute to stability in the middle of the field. Injuries to Ignacio Aliseda, a key player in November, and Boris Babic could affect Lugano’s offensive options.
Team analysis: Paphos
Paphos showed huge ambition in their debut European appearance this season, securing a place in the knockout stages. With nine points from five matches, victories over Petrocuba, Astana and Celje allowed the Cypriots to exceed expectations. However, against teams from stronger leagues, such as Fiorentina and Heidenheim, they could not offer serious resistance.
Juan Carlos Carcedo’s side went into this match with optimism, especially after a 2-0 home league win against Nea Salamis that cemented them at the top of the Cypriot league. Captain Žairo is in excellent form, with goals in the last three away games, while young players like Tanković and Bruno are expected to provide the necessary dynamism on the wings.
Paphos have a full squad available, which will allow them to field a full squad, although some players will rotate from the last league match.
Betting Tip: Lugano Winner (1)
Lugano enters the match as favorites, not only because of the home field advantage but also because of the importance this match has for their direct placement in the round of 16. However, Paphos has shown that it can be an unpleasant opponent and has excellent individuals in the offensive, like Žair, who can surprise.
Quota 2.10
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