Player Analysis: Jaren Jackson Jr.
Jaren Jackson Jr. is one of the Memphis Grizzlies’ most important players, but his stats and circumstances in this matchup indicate a limited chance to get high rebounds. Averaging 3.2 fouls per game this season, Jackson often faces limited minutes on the court, which negatively affects his overall performance. This rate puts him in the 98th percentile of fouled players in the league, meaning he often gets into foul trouble, especially against strong opponents.
The opponent in this match, the Phoenix Suns, further complicates the situation. The Suns are known for their extremely slow pace of play, especially over the last 10 games, where they are the lowest ranked team in possession in the league. A slow pace directly affects fewer opportunities for offensive and defensive rebounds. In addition, the Memphis Grizzlies will play as a guest, and Jaren Jackson Jr. traditionally has a weaker performance in away games, which further reduces the chances of surpassing the rebound limit.
All of the above suggests that Jackson Jr. likely to struggle to reach 7.5 rebounds in this game. His drop in performance away from home, combined with the characteristics of his opponents and his tendency to make personal mistakes, makes this limit difficult to reach.
Betting Suggestion: Under 7.5 rebounds
Less than 7.5 rebounds for Jaren Jackson Jr. is a logical choice. The slow tempo of the Phoenix Suns’ game, the problem with fouls and fewer chances to dominate on the road indicate that Jackson Jr. stay below this limit.
Quota 1.90
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