Real Madrid:
This season, Real Madrid has not yet shown its full potential, despite being at the top of La Liga. Although they are in the semifinals of the Copa del Rey and preparing for an exciting clash with Manchester City in the Champions League, they must remain cautious in La Liga. Coach Carlo Ancelotti’s team suffered an unexpected defeat to Espanyol (1-0), which revealed some potential weaknesses, particularly in attack.
Nevertheless, they still have incredible attacking quality, with players like Vinicius Jr., Kylian Mbappe, and Jude Bellingham. This trio is capable of making a difference and creating chances that could lead to goals at any moment. Real Madrid will need to show greater efficiency in attack and security in defense, as they are still missing key defenders like Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao, while Antonio Rudiger is injured and will be out for several weeks. This means Ancelotti will have to rely on Aurelien Tchouameni and Raul Asensio in central defense, which will be a challenge against Atletico Madrid’s attacking potential.
Real Madrid remains the strongest at home, with 9 wins from 10 games this season at Santiago Bernabeu. Although they are not in perfect form, their attacking power gives them an advantage, and Ancelotti’s team will aim to avoid surprises, especially after recent poor results in La Liga.
Atletico Madrid:
Atletico Madrid is an exceptionally balanced team this season, with impressive performances in both La Liga and European competitions. Coach Diego Simeone has once again created a team that is tough to beat, with defensive solidity supported by attacking options like Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez. Although they may not have been favorites to win the title on paper, Atletico is in great form and remains in the title race in La Liga.
Atletico has been quite competitive against Real Madrid in recent seasons, with four unbeaten matches, including two recent draws. However, historically, Atletico has not won at Santiago Bernabeu since 2016, which is a big challenge for Simeone and his team. Despite this statistic, Atletico is in good form and will surely be competitive in this derby.
Recent Atletico victories, such as the 2-0 triumph over Mallorca and a dominant 5-0 win over Getafe, show their progress, and the return of Jan Oblak in goal is certainly great news for the away team. Atletico will need to be cautious in defense, as mistakes against an attack led by Mbappe and Vinicius could be costly. Although they are a disciplined team, Atletico must be highly efficient in attack to get a good result at Bernabeu.
Betting Suggestions:
This match promises to be incredibly exciting and balanced. Although Real Madrid has the home advantage, their current form isn’t stable enough to make them clear favorites. Atletico is extremely strong and will surely try to take advantage of any opportunity that arises, while Simeone’s team will likely play solid defense, trying to avoid mistakes.
Betting Suggestions:
- Bet on “Both Teams to Score” (GG):
- Given that both teams have the ability to score goals and neither is completely solid in defense, this is an excellent option. Real Madrid will likely dominate possession and create chances, while Atletico doesn’t shy away from counterattacks and has strong attackers like Griezmann and Alvarez.
- Likelihood: High
- Bet on “Draw” (X):
- This outcome seems very likely given the balanced matches between these two teams in recent seasons, and Atletico has managed to cause Real problems at their stadium. Additionally, the odds on a draw outcome should be quite favorable.
- Likelihood: Medium
- Bet on “Over 2.5 Goals”:
- This match has the potential for a high number of goals, given that both teams have quality attackers but are not always the strongest defensively. In recent derbies, both teams have been prolific, suggesting a chance for over 2.5 goals.
- Likelihood: Medium
- Bet on “Real Madrid to Win”:
- Despite their recent setbacks, Real Madrid must be considered favorites at home, given their much better home record and attacking prowess. With key players like Mbappe and Bellingham returning, they are expected to score and win.
- Likelihood: Medium
- Bet on “Atletico Madrid +1.5 Goals”:
- Atletico will certainly be cautious, but attackers like Griezmann and Alvarez could score one or two goals, so betting on +1.5 goals for Atletico could be profitable if you believe in their attack.
