Team Analysis: Alaves
Alaves has been facing significant issues with maintaining consistency this season. Currently, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses in the last 12 games, indicating team instability. In these 14 matches, they have scored 15 goals, averaging slightly more than one goal per game, while conceding 24 goals. This negative goal difference shows that they are vulnerable defensively and struggle to find stability in the final third. Their biggest victory was 2-0, which indicates they are capable of winning, but often fail to replicate such performances under pressure. Additionally, their high number of conceded goals (more than 1.5 per game on average) suggests that their defense is not solid enough, which could be a problem against teams with a better attack.
Alaves relies on its forwards, particularly its midfielder who is tasked with creating chances. However, without a stable defense, they are often exposed to opposition attacks. Therefore, Alaves must focus on finding a balance between offense and defense to secure a good result against a team like Leganes.
Team Analysis: Leganes
Leganes has faced a similar problem this season, but on the opposite end of the spectrum – their attack has been underperforming. With only 13 goals scored in 14 matches, it’s clear they struggle to create chances and finish effectively. The team mostly relies on disciplined defense and tries to withstand pressure, having conceded only 19 goals. Although they are solid defensively, the lack of attacking power can be a serious issue as it is difficult for them to secure wins. They have not won in their last few matches, which may further reduce their confidence heading into this game.
Leganes often plays very tightly in midfield and defense, but their attacking problems lead them to a tactic of minimizing goals conceded and maximizing their limited opportunities. In this match, they will likely try to exploit any mistakes by Alaves and pose a threat on counter-attacks. However, if they fail to score in the first half, their task will become much harder. Therefore, despite being solid defensively, their weak attack could struggle against a team like Alaves.
Betting Tip: Under 2.5 Goals
Considering the analysis of both teams, this match is expected to be highly competitive and likely very close. Alaves faces defensive issues but remains potentially more dangerous in attack than Leganes, who relies on their strong defense but struggles to score. Given that both teams have had problems with their offensive play, and neither dominates in attack, the betting tip is to go for under 2.5 goals in the match. The odds for this option could be around 1.5, as a tight, low-scoring game is expected.
Odds: 1.50
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