Augsburg: Defensive Stability but Attacking Problems
Augsburg secured a point in the last round against Mainz, but with a lot of luck, as they failed to create any major chances while their opponents had four. Coach Jens Torup is surely concerned, as his team has scored only 24 goals in the Bundesliga, the lowest among the top 12 teams in the league. Additionally, Augsburg has the lowest expected goals (xG) in the entire league, highlighting their attacking struggles.
However, they have shown defensive improvement—conceding only three goals in their last six matches and keeping three clean sheets. Despite this, they have conceded 35 goals overall this season, ranking among the four worst defensive teams in the top 14.
Their form over the last six matches has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in the Bundesliga, along with elimination from the DFB-Pokal against Stuttgart. At home, they have been solid, with a record of six wins, two draws, and three losses in 10 matches. However, they have failed to win their last three home games, which could be a cause for concern.
RB Leipzig: Inconsistent Form and Poor Away Record
RB Leipzig comes into this match after a 2-0 victory over St. Pauli, in which they managed to hold onto their lead despite a red card for Willi Orban in the 69th minute. With disciplined play after the sending-off, they limited their opponents to just two shots from inside the penalty area.
In their first meeting against Augsburg this season, Leipzig dominated and won 4-0, scoring all four goals by the 57th minute. Given that they need a win to maintain fourth place and avoid pressure from fifth-placed Stuttgart, they will be highly motivated for this match.
Coach Marco Rose is under pressure due to inconsistent results. Although they have kept clean sheets in their last two Bundesliga matches, they had conceded 14 goals in the previous five games. Their recent league form has been mixed—one win, one loss, and three draws in the last five rounds.
Leipzig’s biggest issue is their away form—out of their last 10 away matches in all competitions, they have won only once, with seven losses and two draws. This could be a significant factor in their chances against Augsburg.
Betting Tips
✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Augsburg performs better at home, and while they struggle in attack, Leipzig’s defense is often unreliable. On the other hand, Leipzig has attacking quality with Openda and Šeško, making goals likely on both sides.
✅ Over 2.5 Goals in the Match – Leipzig has the offensive power to threaten Augsburg, but their defensive weaknesses could lead to an open game with multiple goals.
✅ Leipzig to Win or Draw (X2) – Despite their poor away record, Leipzig is the stronger team and rarely loses matches like this. Augsburg has also failed to win in their last three matches, making this a solid betting option.
✅ Loïs Openda to Score – The Belgian striker is in good form and is often the main attacking threat. Against Augsburg, he is likely to get several opportunities to find the net.
Despite Leipzig’s struggles on the road, they remain favorites due to their higher quality, while Augsburg can put up a solid fight at home. An exciting match with goals on both sides is expected.
