Borussia Dortmund want revenge against Stuttgart – Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund enters this match aiming to extend their unbeaten run after securing two consecutive victories. In their last game, they dominated Heidenheim, preventing their opponents from creating a single big chance while generating four of their own, accumulating over 2 xG. This statistic clearly highlights their attacking dominance and defensive stability.

However, Dortmund’s main issue lately has been inconsistency. Despite remaining unbeaten in their last three matches, they previously suffered four consecutive defeats, including a heavy 5-1 loss to Stuttgart back in September. Additionally, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 games, which could be concerning ahead of a match against a Stuttgart side with strong attacking potential.

On the positive side, Dortmund sits just four points behind fourth-placed RB Leipzig, meaning a win in this match could significantly boost their chances of securing a Champions League spot. However, manager Niko Kovac will have to deal with defensive absences—Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended, and Niklas Süle is injured. As a result, Emre Can may be deployed in central defense, with Pascal Groß and Marcel Sabitzer likely forming the midfield duo.

In attack, Dortmund is expected to field Karim Adeyemi and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on the wings, while Serhou Guirassy will lead the line as the primary goal threat.


Stuttgart

Stuttgart suffered a defeat against Borussia Monchengladbach in their last Bundesliga match but quickly bounced back with a 1-0 victory over Augsburg in the DFB-Pokal quarter-finals. This win could serve as a confidence booster, especially since it was their first clean sheet in five matches.

However, Stuttgart’s recent form has been inconsistent—they have lost three of their last four games while conceding nine goals in that period. Despite this slump, they previously enjoyed an impressive run, winning eight of their last nine matches, proving they can be a dangerous side when in form.

Their away form has also been solid, as they have won four of their last five matches on the road. This should give them confidence heading into the clash against Dortmund.

A major concern for Stuttgart is injuries—key defenders Dan-Axel Zagadou and Ameen Al Dakhil are unavailable, forcing manager Sebastian Hoeness to make adjustments in defense. Josha Vagnoman, Julian Chabot, Ramon Hendriks, and Maximilian Mittelstadt are expected to form the backline.

In attack, Stuttgart will likely rely on Deniz Undav and Nick Woltemade, while Atakan Karazor and Angelo Stiller will control the midfield.


Betting Tips

  1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – YES
    • Dortmund has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 matches, while Stuttgart has shown attacking quality. Given both teams’ defensive issues, it’s highly likely that both will find the net.
  2. Total Goals Over 2.5
    • Dortmund has scored eight and conceded six goals in their last four games, while Stuttgart often plays in high-scoring matches. Their previous encounter ended 5-1, indicating a strong possibility of another goal-filled contest.
  3. Serhou Guirassy to Score Anytime
    • The Dortmund striker will be the focal point in attack and should have several opportunities to exploit Stuttgart’s defensive weaknesses.

Conclusion: This is expected to be an open match with plenty of goal-scoring chances. Dortmund is the favorite due to their home advantage, but Stuttgart has proven to be dangerous on the road. The best betting options are BTTS & Over 2.5, with added value in backing Guirassy to score.

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