Can West Ham surprise Chelsea? – Match analysis

Chelsea – Form and Game Analysis

Chelsea entered 2025 with hopes of stabilizing their form and catching up with the teams competing for European spots, but the 3-1 defeat against Manchester City set Enzo Maresca’s squad back to square one. Although the Blues managed to hold on in the first half and even took the lead through Noni Madueke, City’s constant pressure paid off. Joško Gvardiol equalized before halftime, while Erling Haaland capitalized on Robert Sánchez’s uncertainty, registering a goal and an assist in City’s comeback.

This defeat left Chelsea in mid-table with 28 points, making the race for the top seven increasingly uncertain. Enzo Maresca had previously stated that he did not see his team as title contenders, and now even European qualification is in doubt. Despite losing only one of their last five matches, the reality is that Chelsea have just one win in their last seven league games—far from the form required to secure a European spot.

Chelsea’s defensive issues are particularly evident at Stamford Bridge, where they have conceded in 10 out of 11 league matches this season. Their only clean sheet in this period came against Aston Villa, which is a crucial stat ahead of their clash with West Ham, a team that knows how to exploit defensive weaknesses.

Robert Sánchez is under immense pressure following another poor performance, having already made five errors leading directly to goals—the most in the Premier League this season. Filip Jørgensen is close to taking over as the first-choice goalkeeper, but Maresca continues to defend Sánchez and will likely give him another chance.


West Ham – Form and Game Analysis

West Ham has undergone major changes under Graham Potter, but stability remains elusive. In their last match, they managed to secure a point against Aston Villa (1-1), with Jacob Ramsey’s early goal putting them on the back foot. Eventually, Emerson Palmieri equalized with a header, while Tomáš Souček came close to securing a win, only to be denied by poor finishing and excellent defensive interventions.

Despite scoring in their last seven away matches across all competitions, West Ham has struggled to convert performances into victories. Their Premier League form has been inconsistent—two wins, three losses, and one draw in their last six games—keeping them far from their early-season ambitions.

Potter now has the chance to become the first former Chelsea manager to win at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League. His team arrives motivated, but past encounters with Chelsea might be a concern. In September, they suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat, while last season at Stamford Bridge, they endured a crushing 5-0 loss.

A positive development for West Ham is the potential return of Jarrod Bowen, who has recovered from a foot injury and trained with the team. However, injuries remain a concern—Lucas Paquetá is doubtful, while Crysencio Summerville, Michail Antonio, Niclas Füllkrug, and Jean-Clair Todibo are still unavailable.

On the other hand, the return of Dinos Mavropanos from suspension could bring much-needed defensive stability, possibly replacing veteran Aaron Cresswell in the backline.


Betting Tips

A thrilling match is expected at Stamford Bridge, where both teams will have their chances. Chelsea’s defensive struggles make them vulnerable at home, while West Ham has the quality to exploit these weaknesses, particularly through quick transitions and attacking threats like Kudus, Souček, and potentially Bowen.

Possible betting options:
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Chelsea have conceded in 10 of their 11 home matches, while West Ham has scored in their last seven away games.
X2 (West Ham Not to Lose) – Potter’s side has a decent away record and could take advantage of Chelsea’s instability.
Total Goals 2-3 – A tactical battle with limited chances is expected, but both teams could still find the net.
Jarrod Bowen to Score (if he plays) – Bowen’s return could be crucial for West Ham, and he has already shown his ability to be a game-changer in these types of matches.

The match will be a tight contest, but given their current form, West Ham has a slight edge. If Potter’s men remain disciplined and capitalize on Chelsea’s defensive errors, they have a real chance to claim a historic win at Stamford Bridge.

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