Darius Garland player analysis
Darius Garland has seen a significant drop in his offensive productivity this season compared to last year. He averaged just 17.7 points per game, down significantly from his 21.5 points per game last season. This decline can be attributed in part to an increased number of personal fouls – in the last five games he has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game, which is 1.6 more than his average this season.
Another factor playing into Garland’s performance is the Cleveland Cavaliers’ lethargic offense, which is fifth-slowest in the league over the past 15 games. This slow pace of play is further accentuated by the fact that the Cavaliers will be playing the Boston Celtics, who have the slowest pace in the league over their last five games. This combination will likely result in fewer possessions and scoring opportunities for Garland.
Also, the Cavaliers are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the NBA on the road, averaging just 7.6 per game over their last 25 games. This means fewer opportunities for Garland to re-establish possession and create more chances for points and assists. His assists are also down this season, averaging 6.4 per game, down from 7.6 assists per game last season.
In short, Garland faces a number of challenges this season, including an increase in personal fouls, the Cavaliers’ slow pace of play, and his team’s fewer offensive rebounds, all of which contribute to his decreased productivity on the court.
Betting proposal
21.5 points/under (21.5-)
Darius Garland is facing a dip in his offensive production this season, averaging just 17.7 points per game, down significantly from his 21.5 points last year. This decline can be attributed in part to an increased number of personal fouls – Garland has recorded 3.4 personal fouls per game in the last five games, which is 1.6 more than his average for the entire season.
Also, the Cavaliers are the fifth-slowest team in the league over their last 15 games, further reducing possessions and scoring opportunities. Given that they are playing against Boston, the team with the slowest pace in the league in the last five games, even fewer possessions are expected.
Additionally, the Cavaliers are very poor in offensive rebounding on the road, with just 7.6 per game over their last 25 games, which reduces the chances of extra scoring opportunities. All of this indicates that Garland is likely to underperform in this game.
Considering all the above factors, we recommend betting under 21.5 points on Darius Garland.
Quota 1.85
NOTE
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