Fiorentina: Strong Home Form and Tactical Stability
Fiorentina comes into this match with solid form at Stadio Artemio Franchi, having won seven of their last 10 home games in Serie A. Despite a 2-1 defeat to Inter Milan in their previous fixture, the Viola have performed well in front of their home fans, accumulating more than 40 points at this stage of the season for the first time since 2016. Their ability to capitalize on set pieces has been one of their key strengths, with only Inter scoring more goals from dead-ball situations this season.
One of the biggest challenges for Fiorentina in this match will be the absence of Moise Kean, who is serving a suspension. Kean has been a crucial player for the team, currently ranked second in the Capocannoniere race. Without him, Raffaele Palladino will need to adjust his attacking setup, likely giving Lucas Beltran a more central role in the offense. However, Beltran has been struggling to find consistent form, scoring just one goal in his last 12 starts. This puts added pressure on Fiorentina’s creative midfielders, Nicolò Zaniolo, Albert Gudmundsson, and Michael Folorunsho, to step up and provide the necessary attacking spark.
Defensively, Fiorentina will benefit from the return of Pietro Comuzzo, who missed the Inter match due to suspension. His partnership with Luca Ranieri in central defense will be crucial in maintaining stability at the back. Meanwhile, Robin Gosens and Dodo will look to exploit the flanks, offering additional width in attack.
Considering Fiorentina’s dominance over Como in recent years—they have won their last four meetings without conceding a goal—the hosts will be confident heading into this clash.
Como: Poor Away Form and Injury Concerns
Como has been struggling both in terms of form and squad depth. They enter this match after losing four of their last five Serie A games, including a narrow 2-1 defeat to Juventus, where a late goal from Randal Kolo Muani sealed their fate. Their biggest issue this season has been their dreadful away record. They have failed to win any of their last eight away matches and have secured just seven points on the road, making them one of the weakest traveling teams in the league.
Head coach Cesc Fabregas has faced difficulties in stabilizing the squad, especially due to a long list of injuries. Como will be without several key players, including Alberto Moreno, Sergi Roberto, Alessandro Gabrielloni, Ignace Van der Brempt, and Marc-Oliver Kempf. Additionally, recent signing Mergim Vojvoda is also unavailable, further limiting their options.
Despite these setbacks, Alieu Fadera returns from suspension and will compete with Assane Diao for a spot on the left wing. Como’s attacking hopes rest largely on the shoulders of Patrick Cutrone, a former Fiorentina loanee, who will lead the line. However, Como has struggled in front of goal, lacking a consistent goal scorer. Meanwhile, French forward Jonathan Ikoné could face his parent club, adding an interesting subplot to this encounter.
Como’s defensive setup has been inconsistent, and given Fiorentina’s strong home form, they could struggle to contain the hosts’ attacking threats. The Lariani’s inability to keep clean sheets and their lack of attacking firepower make them significant underdogs in this match.
Betting Predictions
Given Fiorentina’s home strength and Como’s struggles on the road, the hosts are expected to dominate. Additionally, Fiorentina has won their last four encounters against Como without conceding a goal, making a win-to-nil bet an attractive option.
Suggested Bets:
✅ Fiorentina to Win & Over 1.5 Goals – Fiorentina’s attack should prove too strong for Como’s leaky defense.
✅ Fiorentina to Score in Both Halves – Como has conceded early in multiple away games this season.
✅ Lucas Beltran to Score Anytime – With Kean suspended, Beltran is expected to step up.
✅ Under 2.5 Goals for Como – The visitors have struggled to score against stronger defensive teams.
Fiorentina is likely to control possession and create multiple chances, while Como’s lack of depth and poor away form suggest they will struggle to make an impact. A 2-0 or 3-0 win for the hosts seems like the most probable outcome.
