Team Analysis: Genoa
Genoa is facing a challenging season with only 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in 14 matches. Their goal difference is negative, with 13 goals scored and 24 conceded. Despite a few good moments, such as a 2-0 away win and a 3-1 home victory, the team has struggled with consistency and defense. In the last 14 games, Genoa has recorded just 2 wins, reflecting poor form recently.
Attack has clearly been one of their biggest problems, with only 13 goals scored in 14 matches, a very low number. Defensive issues are also evident as they have conceded 24 goals, making them one of the teams with the weakest defense in the league.
Genoa will be severely weakened due to several key absences. R. Malinovsky (ankle injury), C. Ekuban (thigh injury), and J. Ekhator (injury) are crucial players in attack and midfield, and their absence will further disrupt team dynamics. Additionally, J. Vasquez is suspended due to yellow cards, which will weaken their defense, as Vasquez is a regular starter in that line.
Team Analysis: Torino
Torino has had a slightly better season with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses in 14 matches. With 16 goals scored and 20 conceded, they have a better goal difference than Genoa, but they have still failed to impress with their stability. In the last 14 games, Torino has recorded several solid wins, including a 2-1 home win and a 3-2 away win. Although more efficient in attack than Genoa, their form remains quite inconsistent.
Torino will also be weakened by key player absences. D. Zapata (knee injury), P. Schuurs (knee injury), Z. Savva (injury), and E. Ilkhan (knee injury) will not be available, affecting their midfield and defense. Additionally, I. Ilic is injured, which could further hinder their midfield organization as Ilic is often a key player in attack. Still, Torino has more options in attack and a better chance of coping with these absences, especially given their superior goal-scoring record this season.
Betting Tip: X2 & 2+
Although both teams have struggled with consistency this season, Torino looks like the team with a better chance of a positive result in this match. Genoa is dealing with significant absences, particularly in attack and defense, while Torino has a more efficient attack and slightly better form. Moreover, the absences of key players for both teams could open up the game, increasing the likelihood of more goals.
Given the defensive and attacking weaknesses of both teams, this match is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals. Torino is favored to avoid defeat, but given Genoa’s potential for fight, the recommended bet is X2 and over 2 goals.
Odds: 2.40
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