Analysis of the match: Kalev/Cramo vs VEF Riga
Kalev/Cramo: Kalev/Cramo are in a great position after retaining most of the key players from last season and maintaining continuity in the coaching staff. The team was significantly strengthened by bringing in Anrijs Mishka, who will certainly be an important factor in attack and defense. Although Kalev/Cramo is not a team that scores a lot of points per match (75 points on average), their defense is one of their biggest assets. With a defensive rating of 106.5, they have the capacity to repel opposing attacks and slow down the pace of the game significantly. Another significant advantage is rebounds (40.5 per match), which gives them an extra strength in controlling the game, especially against a team like VEF, which has a less stable inside game.
VEF Riga: VEF Riga experienced significant changes in the team, which somewhat weakened their cohesion and internal structure. Although the team scores more points per match (88 points), their defense is not at the level of the team from Tallinn. With a defensive rating of 120 and fewer rebounds (38), VEF relies on a fast pace and attacking style of play, but is vulnerable on defense and in the battle for the ball under the hoops. Key players like Issuf Sanon and Vyacheslav Bobrov can be key in the attack, but their performance will depend on the team’s ability to control the tempo of the game and slow down the defensive pressure of Kalev/Cramo.
Betting proposal: Kalev/Cramo win with handicap -1.5 (H1 -1.5)
Based on overall statistics, Kalev/Cramo has the advantage in rebounding and assists, two important aspects for controlling the game. Their defense is stronger, which will help them prevent VEF Riga from scoring a lot of points. The continuity and stability of the Kalev/Cramo team, unlike the big changes in VEF Riga, also give them an advantage.
Considering the difference in defensive quality and team stability, the -1.5 handicap for Kalev/Cramo seems like an excellent betting choice.
Quota: 1.75
NOTE
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