Player Analysis: Kristaps Porzingis
Kristaps Porzingis has stood out as a key player for the Boston Celtics this season, especially when playing at home. He averages 18.2 points per game at home, which puts him in the upper 85th percentile among players in the NBA. His ability to use his height and shoot from distance makes him an extremely dangerous opponent, especially in situations where opposing centers are not defensively dominant.
In this matchup against the Indiana Pacers, Porzingis has an extremely favorable matchup against Myles Turner. Turner often allows a high percentage of three-point shots against centers, and data shows that starting centers against the Pacers hit as high as 41.2% of their three-point attempts (93rd percentile). Porzingis, known for his long-range shooting, will surely exploit this weakness in the opposing defense.
Also, the Pacers’ pace of play further favors Porzingis. Indiana is the fourth-fastest team in the league over its last 15 road games, which means the Celtics will have more offensive possessions than usual. That will open up additional opportunities for Porzingis to increase his performance.
Another key item is Boston’s offensive rebounding contribution. The Celtics are the third-best team in the league in this category when playing at home, averaging 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over their last five games. This will allow additional opportunities for Porzingis to increase his scoring output through second chances.
His form in the last five games is also impressive, with almost perfect free throw shooting (97.6%), which is even 15% higher than his season average. This shows his concentration and reliability at key moments, which further increases the chances of crossing the given limit.
Betting suggestion: More than 15.5 points
Kristaps Porzingis has all the necessary prerequisites to have a great game against the Pacers. The combination of a favorable matchup, high tempo of the game, and excellent form makes him an ideal candidate to cross the 15.5 point mark.
Quota 1.90
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