04.05 2024 18:00
Analysis of the Monza team
Monza faces several challenges ahead of the upcoming game. First, there is the possibility that they will be without several key players due to injuries, including Dani Mote (ankle), Patrick Cutrone (muscle), and Armando Iza (thigh), which may significantly affect their ability to put up a strong resistance against Lazio.
In addition, Roberto Gagliardini’s suspension will require the Monza coach to find an alternative in midfield. Lazio loanee Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro could stay in midfield alongside Matteo Pessina, who recently scored six goals in the season.
In attack, Monza will rely on Tati Castellanos, with potential support from Milan Djuric, while Mario Gil and Manuel Lazzari recover from injuries.
Analyzing the statistical data, this season Monza played a total of 34 games, scored 36 goals and conceded 44 goals. Considering the distribution of goals, Monza had an average goal scored per game of 1.1, while they conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game. Disciplinarily, they had 12 yellow cards and 1 red card. They recorded 12 clean sheets, but also had 12 clean sheets.
Considering these factors, Monza will face a challenge, but with commitment and fight, they have a chance to put up a good resistance against Lazio and possibly win points in this game.
Analysis of the Lazio team
Lazio are preparing for a challenging game against Monza with several key factors that could affect their performance. Goalkeeper Ivan Provedel is expected to return after several weeks off due to injury, which could have a positive effect on the stability of their defense. However, some players are still questionable due to injuries, such as Mario Gil and Manuel Lazzari.
Coach Igor Tudor will face a challenge in the selection of the team, especially in the middle of the field, where he will have to make key decisions regarding the composition. Captain Ciro Immobile, who is not at his best, will be a key player in the attack, and he is expected to take the lead in the attacking segment.
Statistically speaking, Lazio played 34 games this season, scored 43 goals and conceded 35 goals. Considering the distribution of goals, Lazio has an average goal scored per game of 1.3 while conceding an average of 1 goal per game. Disciplinarily, they recorded 101 yellow cards and 4 red cards.
Given these facts, Lazio will have to put in a solid and organized performance to overcome Monza and secure important points. Key players will have to show their best game to get a positive result.
Betting Tips
2.5 goals/under (2.5-)
I suggest betting under 2.5 goals in this match for several reasons. First, both teams tend to play cautiously and focus on defense, which can result in fewer goals. Second, the absence of injured players on both teams can affect the teams’ ability to score goals. Third, the coach’s tactical approach may be aimed at controlling the game and minimizing risks, which may also contribute to fewer goals. With all this in mind, betting under 2.5 goals can be a reasonable proposition for this match
Odds 1.85
Lazio win (type 2)
Although they may have had a few swings during the season, Lazio have shown the ability to compete with stronger teams and pick up important points. Also, considering the importance of the game for both teams, we can expect that Lazio will be additionally motivated to achieve victory. Injuries to key players in Monza could also weaken their squad further and make things easier for Lazio. When all this is taken into account, a Lazio win (type 2) seems like a reasonable betting proposition in this match.
Odds 1.85
NOTE
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