Nantes: Struggling for survival and uncertain form
Nantes entered 2025 with slightly better results, having secured a 2-1 win against Reims in their last match, extending their unbeaten run to five games. While they showed good mental strength in that match, throughout the season, they have struggled with consistency, especially at home. Although they haven’t had catastrophic results, Nantes has only earned 10 points from their 9 home games this season.
However, what is commendable is that they have scored in eight of these matches and conceded only 12 goals. While the statistics are not catastrophic, the problem for Nantes is that they often fail to secure three points and have ended many matches in draws, which has led them to their current position—just one point above the danger zone.
At home, Nantes has often struggled against stronger teams, and they will consider this match against Brest crucial for their survival battle. What does not bode well for them is the head-to-head history with Brest. Nantes has not won any of their last five encounters with Brest, suffering four losses and scoring only two goals. This further raises doubts about their chances, as Brest has been significantly more successful in recent seasons, and Nantes has been increasingly nervous in this fixture.
Nantes will be without several key players in this match, including Tino Kadewere, Douglas Augusto, and Nathan Zeze, while new signings Francis Coquelin and Meschack Elia could bring some fresh energy to the team. Although these players could help, the truth is that Nantes must work much harder to secure their place in the league for the next season.
Brest: Recovery after a heavy defeat, but motivated for Europe
Brest is in a relatively better situation than Nantes. Although they suffered a heavy 5-2 defeat to PSG last weekend, the team is still in decent form, especially when playing away. In their recent matches, Brest has won two consecutive away games, which has lifted the team’s morale. Another positive factor for Brest is their bounce-back after the heavy loss, as they managed to beat Troyes 2-1 in the Coupe de France, restoring some confidence.
While Brest had one of the best defenses in the league last season, their defensive numbers have worsened this season. With 36 goals conceded in 20 games, they are now one of the teams that have conceded the most goals outside the relegation zone. However, their attack remains effective, and forwards like Del Castillo, Ajorque, and Sima could prove dangerous to Nantes’ defense.
Brest is currently fighting for places that lead to European competitions, and a win against Nantes would be crucial for continuing their push for the top 7. Brest is currently seventh in the league and can be considered a serious contender in the battle for Europe. Motivation is clear, as just three points would bring them closer to the European spots, while any dropped points would likely mean falling further away from that goal.
In terms of head-to-head history with Nantes, Brest has dominated this fixture in recent seasons. In the last five encounters, Brest has secured four victories, which clearly shows their superiority in this matchup. Brest, therefore, enters this match with great confidence and a clear objective—to continue their good run and maintain their position in the fight for Europe.
Betting on this match: Which team has better chances?
The match between Nantes and Brest will certainly not be easy for either team, but considering the current form and situation of both teams, Brest is the favorite to take all three points. Nantes has many issues with stability in their game, especially in recent matches, while Brest comes with better morale after their recent victories and a clear desire to fight for Europe.
Betting recommendations:
- Brest to win: Brest is in better form, has achieved good results in recent matches, and has a better head-to-head record against Nantes. Additionally, Nantes is under significant pressure to survive, which could affect their performance.
- Double chance: Brest or draw: Given that Brest has not lost any of their last four away games, and Nantes has struggled to win, betting on Brest or a draw could be a safer option.
- Over 2.5 goals: Although Brest has defensive issues, their attack is still very effective, while Nantes can take advantage of Brest’s defensive weaknesses. Therefore, this match could see a lot of goals, making betting on over 2.5 goals an attractive option.
Conclusion: Although Nantes has the advantage of playing at home, Brest comes into this match with better away form, higher morale, and much greater motivation. Considering this, their win or at least avoiding defeat seems like the most likely outcome.
