Newcastle United Analysis
Newcastle had a fantastic run of nine wins in all competitions but then fell into a slight crisis, losing two of their last three Premier League matches. The most painful defeat came last week against Fulham (2-1), where the “Magpies” had the lead at halftime but then suffered a complete turnaround.
What worries Eddie Howe the most is the fact that his team has now suffered two consecutive home losses, something that hasn’t happened since 2021. If they lose for the third time in a row at home, it would be a serious blow to the team’s morale.
Newcastle currently occupies sixth place in the Premier League, with the same number of points as Manchester City, whom they will soon visit. However, before that, they must focus on this EFL Cup semifinal rematch and try to maintain the advantage gained in the first match when they defeated Arsenal 2-0 away.
The key players in that match were Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon, who both scored, while the team showed excellent defensive organization. They will now try to replicate that disciplined play and exploit counterattacks against Arsenal, which will have to attack from the first minute.
Regarding the lineup, Howe will likely bring Sven Botman back into defense, while the attack will once again rely on Isak and Gordon. The big question remains whether Nick Pope will reclaim his spot between the posts or if Martin Dubravka will retain his position after several solid performances.
Arsenal Analysis
After losing to Newcastle and being eliminated from the FA Cup against Manchester United, Arsenal has found their form, securing five wins and one draw in their last six matches. Their most impressive triumph was against Manchester City, winning 5-1, further fueling their hopes in the Premier League title race.
Mikel Arteta has emphasized that his team must not relax after the dominant victory over City, as they are six points behind Liverpool, which still has a game in hand. Besides the title race, Arsenal now also aims for the EFL Cup trophy, a competition they have won only twice in their history, the last time back in 1993.
Arsenal is facing squad issues due to injuries to key players. Gabriel Jesus (ACL), Bukayo Saka (hamstring), and Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee) are still out, while Ben White is gradually returning, but it’s uncertain whether he will be ready for this match.
In attack, Arteta will likely use Martin Ødegaard, Thomas Partey, and Declan Rice in midfield, while the offensive line will consist of Martinelli, Havertz, and Trossard. The youth and energy of Myles Lewis-Skelly at left-back could be crucial for Arsenal’s attacking efforts.
Arsenal is in very good form and has a clear goal – to attack from the start and try to overcome the two-goal deficit. The key will be how they handle Newcastle’s organized defense and their quick counterattacks.
Betting Prediction
This is a match where Arsenal must chase the result, while Newcastle will play patiently, focusing on defense and quick attacks. Based on recent form and squad conditions, here are some of the best betting options:
✅ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Odds around 1.75
Arsenal will start aggressively and likely score, but Newcastle has the quality to exploit the space they will be given on counterattacks.
✅ Over 2.5 Goals – Odds around 1.85
Arsenal has no choice but to attack, which will open up space for goals on both sides.
✅ Arsenal to Win (2) – Odds around 2.10
Although Newcastle has the advantage, Arsenal is in excellent form and will certainly try to win, even if it’s uncertain whether they can progress further.
✅ Alexander Isak to Score – Odds around 2.50
Isak is in form and will have chances on the counter, especially if Arsenal leaves too much space in defense.
A very exciting match is expected with many chances, where Arsenal will try everything to turn the result around, while Newcastle will look for an opportunity to punish them on the counter.
