Team analysis: St. Pauli
St. Pauli is currently in a very difficult situation in the Bundesliga, where they sit just above the play-off zone for survival, with just one point ahead of them. Aleksandar Blesin’s team experienced three defeats in the last four games, and the only victory in that period came against lower placed Holstein Kiel. Last weekend they suffered a 2:1 defeat against Bayer Leverkusen, where they showed some defensive weaknesses that were easily punished by the opponents.
One of the biggest problems of St. Paulia lacks defensive stability. Although they managed to keep the pace in several matches, individual mistakes and lack of concentration often cost them points. The attack is led by Johannes Egestein, who was instrumental in the win over Holstein Kiel, but a lack of midfield support limits his effectiveness.
In addition, Blessin has serious injury problems. Several key players are out, including key forward Simon Zoller and winger Morgan Gilavogi, who is suspended. Relying on young and less experienced players further complicates the situation, especially in matches against better organized teams like Werder.
Team analysis: Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen, on the other hand, enter this match with much more confidence. A 1-0 win over Bochum last week put the wind behind Ole Werner’s side, who now occupy tenth position in the Bundesliga and are seriously considering fighting for European competitions. Jens Stage was once again a key player, scoring his sixth goal in the last five games, making him one of the most dangerous players in the squad.
This season, Werder is particularly impressive on away games. They won 13 out of a possible 18 points for the side, which makes them the second most successful team on away grounds, just behind Bayern. Their organization in defense and efficiency in attack allowed them to overcome opponents even in matches where they did not dominate possession. Marvin Duksh, who recorded six assists, is an additional threat as he can create chances for his teammates at key moments.
What may be a slight setback for Werder is the absence of Justin Njinmah and several other injured players, but the squad has enough depth and quality to make up for those absences. Their ability to control the pace of the game and quickly move the game into the offensive phase makes them a heavy favorite against a weakened St. Paulia.
Betting Suggestion: X2 & 2+
Werder Bremen is in good form on the road, with four wins in the last six games, while St. Pauli has problems with consistency, especially against stronger rivals. Werder offensive led by Duksha and Stage promises goals, while St. Pauli often concedes goals at home. Stats and form favor X2, with at least two goals expected in the match.
Odds 1.95
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