Team analysis: Toulouse
Toulouse is due to return to Ligue 1 in 2021/22. made significant progress, first by winning the French Cup in 2022/23, and then with stable placements in 13th and 11th place in the elite rank. Under the leadership of Carlos Martinez, who sat on the bench in July 2023, the team set the goal this season to further strengthen their position in the upper part of the table and avoid the fight for survival.
The start of the season was quite challenging, with only one win in the first eight rounds. However, the team’s form has improved significantly in the last six games, in which they have won four and lost only two. This moved them from 15th to 10th in the table, securing them five points clear of the relegation zone.
Toulouse has a well-balanced team, and the attacking tandem of Joshua King and Zakaria Abuklal, with four goals each in the league, are key to the team’s offensive success. Although they were defeated by Monaco (0:2) in the last round, Martinez will rely on the formation and players who brought victories against serious opponents. Rasmus Nikolajsen’s absence due to injury is a handicap, but the defensive line has generally shown stability this season.
Team analysis: Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne, once a regular in the elite, is still trying to adjust to a return to Ligue 1 after two years in the second division. Their current ranking, 16th place with only 13 points won in 14 games, shows that a serious fight for survival is ahead. Olivier Dall’Oglio’s team has the worst attack in the league with only 11 goals scored and the second worst defense with as many as 32 goals conceded.
Most of their successes come at home, while they are still winless away from home. The absence of key players, including Aymen Muefek, Thomas Monconduy and captain Anthony Briancone, further complicates the situation. Zuriko Davitashvili, with five goals, carries the offensive burden of the team, but the lack of support from other players leaves the team vulnerable.
Dal’Oglio will rely on the history of head-to-head meetings with Toulouse, where Saint-Etienne are unbeaten in their last eight games (four wins, four draws). However, the current form and personnel problems make their task very difficult.
Betting suggestion: 1 & 0-3
Toulouse enters this match as a favorite due to its better form and home field advantage. Their attack is solid, but they are not a team that scores a lot of goals per game, which matches the expectation that they will control the game and get the win with fewer goals.
On the other hand, Saint-Etienne has serious defensive problems, but also a very limited attacking performance, especially in away games where they still haven’t won. Their current stats and the absence of key players suggest that they will struggle to cope with a disciplined Toulouse side.
Quota 2.20
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